Nuclear power's share of electricity generation in Northern, Western and Southern Europe stood at 19.4 percent in 2022. In a high case scenario of targeted nuclear power expansion, a considerable growth in the nuclear share of European electricity production is expected, reaching over 30 percent by 2050. In the opposite scenario, this percentage would decrease to 14. Similar projections for the nuclear share of electricity generation in North America show figures as low as eight percent if nuclear power is not promoted.
Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario
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Low case
High case
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According to the source, the low case scenario assumes that current market, technology, and resource trends will continue; few additional changes in laws, policies, and regulations concerning nuclear power will be made. No assumptions concerning targets for nuclear power are made.
The high case scenario takes into account existing policies as well as publicized intentions of individual countries regarding expansion of nuclear power use. While more ambitious, the high case projections are still plausible and technically feasible.
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IAEA. (September 14, 2023). Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved July 22, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/
IAEA. "Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario." Chart. September 14, 2023. Statista. Accessed July 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/
IAEA. (2023). Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: July 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/
IAEA. "Projected Nuclear Share of Electricity Generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with Forecast until 2050, by Scenario." Statista, Statista Inc., 14 Sep 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/
IAEA, Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/ (last visited July 22, 2024)
Projected nuclear share of electricity generation in Northern, Western, and Southern Europe in 2022 with forecast until 2050, by scenario [Graph], IAEA, September 14, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1336581/north-west-and-south-europe-nuclear-share-of-electricity-production-forecast/
